Uqoqosho olukhulu lwaseTshayina luphuhla ngokukhawuleza ngaphezu kweminyaka engamashumi amathathu, kwaye lungene kwiziko lesibini loqoqosho olomeleleyo. Uphuhliso olukhawulezayo loqoqosho luzise amandla amakhulu kwimarike yezindlu yaseTshayina, isenza i-real estate market bubble kwaye ngokuthe ngcembe yanda.
Ingaba likhona iqamza kumaxabiso endlu yase China? U-Economist u-Xie Guozhong ubonisa ukuba i-bubble inkulu kwaye sele ingene kwi-real estate market, kwaye abaninzi bezoqoqosho babonisa ukuba i-bubble ayinzima kwaye ayiyi kungena kwindawo yokwenyani.
Enyanisweni, kumaxabiso ezindlu, onke amazwe ehlabathini anendlela efanayo yokubala, oko kukuthi, ixabiso eliphezulu kumntu akadli okanye asele iminyaka elishumi yengeniso unokuthenga isethi yendlu, ukuba yintlawulo yezavenge. iminyaka engamashumi amabini kuphela ukongeza kwiindleko zemihla ngemihla unokuhlawula imali-mboleko; kwaye umgama ukusuka endlwini ukwisiqingatha seyure ngebhasi. Fika. Emva koko sinokubala ingeniso yomntu ngamnye kunye nomgama wokusebenza wesixeko ngasinye, kwaye uya kulazi ixabiso lendlu. Umzekelo, esona sikolo siphezulu eBeijing ngoku sifikelela kuma-300 amawaka / square metre. Yaye ixabiso legumbi lesithili sesikolo liphezulu kangangokuba umvuzo womntu othenga indlu ufanele ube ngaphezu kwezigidi ezi-3 zomvuzo wakhe wonyaka ngaphambi kokuba ayithenge.
Emva koko jonga izibalo, ezifana nokuqala izibalo zamaxabiso endlu Beijing, licala ring yesibini amaxabiso endlu, ke real estate yandiswa ngokukhawuleza, izibalo ngoko nangoko ukuya amakhonkco ezintathu kunye nemisesane ezine kunye namakhonkco amahlanu kude kube namhlanje kuquka Ixabiso eliphakathi kwexabiso lezindlu kwiindawo zaseBeijing. Kubonakala ngathi amaxabiso ezindlu akanyuki kakuhle, kodwa eneneni, amaxabiso ezindlu kwisangqa sesibini anyuke ngaphezu kwamaxesha alishumi okanye ngaphezulu kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo, kwaye ingeniso ayinako ukufikelela ngokuphindwe kalishumi. Oku kunokuthelekiswa nexabiso lendlu kunye nomsantsa wengeniso.
Jonga eShanghai, kwiminyaka elishumi edlulileyo, imarike yezindlu nomhlaba yayingaphakathi kwindandatho yangaphakathi, kwaye ixabiso lezindlu lalingaphantsi kweshumi lamawaka. Ngoku ixabiso lezindlu kwindandatho yangaphakathi ayinakuba ngaphantsi kwekhulu lamawaka. Ukwanda okufanayo kungaphezulu kwezihlandlo ezilishumi.
Ukujonga kwimarike yezindlu, ngokuqinisekileyo, kufuneka sibone ubudlelwane phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno, kuba kukho ukubonelela kunye nemfuno kwiimarike. Ngoku, kukho malunga ne-100 lezigidi zezindlu ezingenabantu kunye namagumbi okugcina impahla kweli lizwe. Ithetha ntoni le nto? Yathi izindlu ezikwikhulu lezigidi zezindlu zinokusonjululwa, kwaye izindlu ezifikelelekayo ziya kuphuhlisa izigidi zamakhaya kulo nyaka. Kulindeleke ukuba kufikelelwe kwikhulu lezigidi zeeseti ekupheleni konyaka.
Makhe sijonge abaphuhlisi. Okwangoku, abaphuhlisi abaninzi baye badlulisela uphuhliso lwasekhaya kwimarike yezindlu zangaphandle, kwaye iimali ziye zaphuma.
Ukujonga kwimarike yomhlaba, umlinganiso wefilimu yomhlaba uyanda rhoqo, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba imfuno yemarike nayo iyancipha ngokuthe ngcembe.
Zininzi kwaye zininzi izinto esinokuzifunda kwaye sinxibelelane nazo, kwaye ekugqibeleni sifumanisa ukuba imarike yezindlu ngenene iya kungena kwindawo yokunyusela, oko kukuthi, ayinakukhula ngendlela enkulu okanye ide iwele kwindawo yentengiso. umjikelo wokuwa.
Imarike ye-elevator ngoku ithembele ngaphezu kwe-80% kwimarike yezindlu, nangona kukho indawo ye-elevator endala kunye nokulungiswa kwesakhiwo esidala kunye ne-elevator, kodwa oku kukuziphatha kweemarike. Ukutshintshwa kwe-elevator ukusuka kwiminyaka elishumi elinesihlanu edlulileyo ukufakela izibalo, ngokutsho kolwazi lwenethiwekhi ye-elevator yaseTshayina, kwiminyaka elishumi elinesihlanu eyadlulayo ngo-2000, i-National Elevator output yonyaka yi-10000 kuphela, kwaye kwiminyaka elishumi edlulileyo, ngaphezu kwe-40000 kuphela. Kwi-2013, ifikelele kwiiyunithi ezingama-550 amawaka, oku kuthetha ukuba imveliso ye-elevator kunye nokuthengisa kuxhomekeke kakhulu kwimarike yezindlu. Ukutshintshwa kwezitepsi ezindala akusayi kudlula amashumi amahlanu amawaka eeyunithi ngonyaka kule minyaka mihlanu izayo.
I-China inamashishini okuvelisa i-elevator ephantse ibe ngama-700, kwaye amandla okwenene angama-750 amawaka eeyunithi ngonyaka. Ngo-2013, umthamo we-surplus wawuyi-200 lamawaka. Ngoko ukuba imveliso ye-elevator kunye nokuthengiswa kwehla ukuya kwi-500 lamawaka okanye ngaphantsi kwi-2015, imarike ye-elevator yasekhaya iya kwenza ntoni?
Sijonge kwimbali yoshishino lwe-elevator. E-China, imarike ye-elevator kunye namashishini aqala ukwakha kwi-50s. Ekuqaleni kwe-70s, kwakukho iilayisensi ze-elevator ze-14 kuphela kwilizwe, kwaye ukuthengiswa kwe-elevator kwi-70s yayingaphantsi kweeyunithi ze-1000. Ekupheleni kwe-90s, umthamo wokuthengisa i-elevator ufikelele kwiiyunithi ze-10000 ngonyaka, kwaye kunyaka odlulileyo ufikelele kwiiyunithi ezingama-550 zamawaka.
Ngokohlalutyo lwemarike enkulu, imarike yezindlu kunye nemarike ye-elevator, imboni ye-elevator e-China iya kungena kwixesha lohlengahlengiso, kwaye eli xesha lohlengahlengiso alukho nje ukulungiswa kwemveliso yonke kunye nokuthengiswa kwe-elevator. kodwa iya kuba sisibetho esikhulu kwamanye amashishini angasemva kunye namashishini amancinci.
Ukuba ixesha lohlengahlengiso lwemarike yendawo yokuhlala liza, ngoko ke ukulungiswa koshishino lwe-elevator kuya kuza. Kwaye kuya kubakho isibetho esibulalayo kumashishini e-elevator angaboniswanga kuphuhliso lwethu, anesiphumo esibi sophawu kwaye asalele ngasemva kwinqanaba letekhnoloji.
Kwintsapho, kufuneka sicinge ngendlela yokuphila ngcono kwixesha elizayo, kwaye ishishini kufuneka libone indlela yokuphila kwixesha elizayo. Xa ukuguqulwa kweemarike zentengiso ye-real estate kuza, ukuba imboni ye-elevator ngokwayo ayicingi, musa ukuyilungiselela, musa ukuphendula kwisicwangciso, ngoko asiyi kukwazi ukuphuhlisa, okanye nokuba sisinde.
Kakade ke, ukuxhalaba kuyenzeka, kodwa kubaluleke ngakumbi ukuba uzilungiselele.
Umzi-mveliso we-elevator wase-China uphuhliswe ngokukhawuleza ukuya kwimveliso yokuqala kunye nentengiso yehlabathi, kodwa asikwazi ngokwenene ukugqitha iimveliso zoomatshini bamazwe ngamazwe. Besisoloko siphuhlisa ishishini le-elevator kunye ne-United States kunye neYurophu kunye neJapan, engazange ilungele ukuphuhliswa kwexesha elizayo. I-China kufuneka ibe neteknoloji ye-elevator ehamba phambili kwihlabathi, njengesizukulwana sesine ngaphandle kwe-elevator yegumbi lomatshini njengobuchwephesha bonke bomatshini, kufuneka siqhubele phambili ukuphumelela kokucinga, kufuneka senze uphando kunye nophuhliso, kufuneka sisebenze kunye.
Ukujongana nemeko yezoqoqosho enzima kunye nokuguqulwa kwemarike yendawo yokuhlala, ngaba ulungele ukujongana nayo? Ngaba ukulungele ukujongana neshishini lakho? Ngaba oogxa bethu kwishishini bakulungele ukujongana nayo?
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-04-2019